Recession Over?

The National Bureau of Economic Research said that the recession is officially over. Since the economy began expanding at the end of June 2009, the recession officially ended in the 3rd quarter of  2009. But what about unemployment? It is painfully high at 9.6% with still more then 14 mil people unemployed.

The unemployment rates tends to be a lagging indicator as can be seen from the graphs below. With the economic growth rate slowing down from its peak at the end of Dec 2009, will that result in further increase in the unemployment rate?

Data Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics